Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1374.561893 1509.409894 1646.896356 1797.282113 1956.870163 2120.901290 2301.967278
2025-05-11 1139.825905 1336.455887 1545.644606 1783.624065 2045.711903 2324.449879 2642.199489
2025-05-18 1006.219674 1239.555835 1495.736712 1795.501355 2134.275007 2503.002325 2932.376445
2025-05-25 892.284850 1148.711820 1438.145382 1785.097567 2185.784117 2630.264269 3156.812540
2025-06-01 817.927232 1094.575089 1414.425226 1805.785231 2265.990309 2784.506837 3407.337580
2025-06-08 736.199751 1023.987854 1364.684557 1789.892501 2298.542721 2880.053333 3587.554410
2025-06-15 695.133674 998.967917 1365.851579 1831.258553 2395.774235 3048.710570 3851.195115
2025-06-22 642.832812 955.586077 1340.979491 1837.960327 2449.151104 3164.214624 4051.764816
2025-06-29 591.341048 909.384161 1309.269879 1833.276826 2486.334357 3258.764721 4226.489429
2025-07-06 522.916388 836.175187 1239.173673 1776.816443 2456.769509 3270.638398 4300.584787
2025-07-13 511.320637 838.517331 1265.660010 1841.990921 2577.561021 3464.485090 4593.810105
2025-07-20 487.801713 822.685089 1266.979255 1873.874769 2656.122258 3606.764299 4825.169199
2025-07-27 451.898303 787.874273 1242.148324 1871.582258 2692.088234 3698.159581 4997.161975
2025-08-03 414.573693 748.690454 1209.517264 1857.496281 2711.963587 3769.172841 5144.359865
2025-08-10 389.424081 725.653600 1197.583879 1869.710824 2764.834829 3880.890710 5341.756489
2025-08-17 358.900301 692.467038 1169.760419 1859.012370 2786.741839 3952.950142 5489.621107
2025-08-24 340.683421 676.970418 1165.979040 1880.285411 2850.129241 4077.402808 5703.219343
2025-08-31 312.750580 644.291135 1135.913132 1863.943169 2862.644006 4136.339167 5834.242320
2025-09-07 303.529484 641.066777 1148.317113 1906.476645 2953.699802 4296.231281 6093.321464
2025-09-14 285.232775 621.713848 1135.926392 1913.366772 2996.364224 4393.602758 6273.372420
2025-09-21 265.188139 598.061031 1115.968589 1908.551663 3022.486114 4469.159821 6425.610572
2025-09-28 233.654859 552.293169 1060.308755 1850.496329 2974.208046 4446.308158 6450.758907
2025-10-05 233.584507 562.039591 1090.522532 1917.510543 3098.647885 4650.889104 6769.700625